What I'm saying is that you're a lot less predictable and safe to switch into. Choice banded Sturdy Sawk is very easy to play around, especially since Sturdy will most likely always be broken before it can be abused.
With a combination of Mold Breaker/Expert Belt, I consistently snag 2 early KOs by feigning a choice set.
IDK just feels like Sturdy Sawk gets less useful with each new change brought into NU. Hail will definitely be used a lot, no doubt.