They'll both probably bomb even though I want both of them to be successful. Apparently, even if Nintendo didn't do it first, everyone is copying Nintendo and trying to get a slice of that casual cake.
I'll be damned if motion controls are successful this time, as they have only been popular with the Wii.
Nintendo have moved on from motion control. Their recent releases and business structure shows that. It's all about fan service and retro revival.
It seems more like the Wii was too ambitious of a gaming machine, seeing as how the controls were unresponsive at quite a few times, especially before WiiMotionPlus. And yes, this does matter, otherwise Nintendo would have moved on with motion controls after the Power Glove.
And SPOILER ALERT, Nintendo was always about retro revival. Just look at how much times they remake their games.
Sony and Microsoft are one step behind, and their products are going to fail miserably..I mean it's not like any other major console peripheral has done well when it's introduced halfway through a console's lifespan (Sega CD, 32X and Nintendo 64DD for example.)
The Power Glove sold 100,000 copies in the US. It depends more on how you sell it. I always thought of Nintendo as a snake oil salesman in this case but I think most people know they're getting themselves into a library full of shovelware.
"Hardcore" gamers don't want Kinect or Move. so there aren't many of them who are going to buy it, and families and other "casual" gamers aren't exactly going to spend about twice as much to get the console and the peripheral when they can just get a Wii and have what they will see as the exact same thing, all in one well priced bundle.
I'd understand Kinect, but it's a bit harder for me to believe Move, since it seems to be targetted at both Hardcore gamers and the casual audience. Granted it's still leaning towards the casual audience, but it's no Kinect game library. Some of the games that are going to have Move support: Killzone 3, SOCOM 4, Heavy Rain, Resident Evil 5, The Fight, Mag, Time Shift, among quite a few others, and that's just the games that are confirmed to have Move support at the moment. I wouldn't be surprised if plenty of other games came with Move support. Oh, and The PS3 already has casual players with them too.
Don't treat everything I say seriously though, cause I'm just a Sony fanboy.