VisualJae
[size=1][FONT=Michroma][color=#a42525][b]Spam Hype
- 1,128
- Posts
- 9
- Years
- New York, NY
- Seen Oct 27, 2017
Egg-Pok?Stop Experiment: Are Certain Pok?Stops More Likely to Drop Certain Pok?mon Eggs?
Here's the question I asked myself and I know many players have thought about this at some point or another:
This is closely related to a common question about eggs and pickup locations. However, I don't want to know if certain Pok?Stops will drop certain types of eggs (e.g. 2km, 5km, 10km) more often than others. I want to know about the species that hatch.
Take me, for example. I've hatched over 1,300 eggs lifetime. Of those eggs, over 200 have been 10km eggs, which puts me at a high clip of over 15% of my eggs being 10km ones. However, I've yet to hatch a single Dratini. It is the only Pok?mon currently available in the game that I have not been able to hatch. I've caught plenty. But I have not hatched one. Meanwhile, I know plenty of people who have hatched Dratini?hatched so many Dratini that they'd prefer not to hatch another one. The same people have never hatched a Snorlax or Chansey, and I've hatched plenty of those. One of my buddies hatched nearly a dozen Lapras during the first month of the game. I only hatched one Lapras between July 2016 and January 2017. Why is that? Just randomness? Perhaps.
![[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?](https://i.imgur.com/Po9Jshd.png "[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?")
Before starting the experiment, I made sure I was well stocked in all my items because I did not plan on spinning any Pok?Stops?aside from the one I picked?as long as there were any open egg spots in my inventory.* Then I hatched/cleared out all my eggs in my inventory so I started from nothing.
Once prepped, to start the testing process, I picked a single Pok?Stop in NYC (The Sony Wonder Technology Lab on 56th St. and Madison Ave.) and only collected eggs from that one Pok?Stop. The main reason why I picked this Pok?Stop isn't because it's accessible. It's because I distinctly remember getting a 10km egg that hatched a Snorlax here. I figured, hey, if I can hatch another Snorlax, that's frosting on top.
* Note: one way to continue spinning additional Pok?Stops for items without obtaining an egg would be to max out your Pok?mon inventory. Prior to spinning the selected Stop for the egg, one Pok?mon would need to be transferred out to make room. Repeat until all nine egg spots are filled. I wasn't about to do this, though, since I still had about 100 open spots in my Pok?mon inventory while conducting the experiment.
Notable hatches: 2x Chansey, 3x Lapras, 2x Snorlax, 1x Porygon
Recall that I mentioned I only hatched a single Lapras up until starting this experiment. The three Lapras hatches were split into two hatches in the first batch (out of 6x 10km eggs) and one in the second batch (out of 4x 10km eggs). Recall that I also mentioned hatching a Snorlax from this Pok?Stop prior to the experiment. The two Snorlax hatches were split into one from each batch. I cannot wrap my head around the sheer "luck"(?) involved in hatching three Lapras in rapid succession when I went months of heavy gameplay without seeing nor hatching one (specifically since August 2016).
Some notes worth considering:
For those who have read and processed everything up to this point, I encourage you to try this experiment for yourself and see what the results are like. Sample size, as always, is a concern, which means the more results we get, the better conclusions we may draw. Stock up on your items, empty out your eggs inventory, pick a Pok?Stop, record the eggs and the hatchlings you get.
Are Certain Pok?Stops More Likely to Drop Certain Pok?mon Eggs?
Background
Hi, fellow GO players. Just wanted to share an ongoing experiment I'm conducting on eggs and Pok?Stops. The Silph Road should be conducting a similar one, but I'm doing one for myself in the meantime just to see if I get anything worth noting.Here's the question I asked myself and I know many players have thought about this at some point or another:
Are certain Pok?Stops more likely to drop certain Pok?mon eggs?
This is closely related to a common question about eggs and pickup locations. However, I don't want to know if certain Pok?Stops will drop certain types of eggs (e.g. 2km, 5km, 10km) more often than others. I want to know about the species that hatch.
Take me, for example. I've hatched over 1,300 eggs lifetime. Of those eggs, over 200 have been 10km eggs, which puts me at a high clip of over 15% of my eggs being 10km ones. However, I've yet to hatch a single Dratini. It is the only Pok?mon currently available in the game that I have not been able to hatch. I've caught plenty. But I have not hatched one. Meanwhile, I know plenty of people who have hatched Dratini?hatched so many Dratini that they'd prefer not to hatch another one. The same people have never hatched a Snorlax or Chansey, and I've hatched plenty of those. One of my buddies hatched nearly a dozen Lapras during the first month of the game. I only hatched one Lapras between July 2016 and January 2017. Why is that? Just randomness? Perhaps.
The Experiment
Once prepped, to start the testing process, I picked a single Pok?Stop in NYC (The Sony Wonder Technology Lab on 56th St. and Madison Ave.) and only collected eggs from that one Pok?Stop. The main reason why I picked this Pok?Stop isn't because it's accessible. It's because I distinctly remember getting a 10km egg that hatched a Snorlax here. I figured, hey, if I can hatch another Snorlax, that's frosting on top.
* Note: one way to continue spinning additional Pok?Stops for items without obtaining an egg would be to max out your Pok?mon inventory. Prior to spinning the selected Stop for the egg, one Pok?mon would need to be transferred out to make room. Repeat until all nine egg spots are filled. I wasn't about to do this, though, since I still had about 100 open spots in my Pok?mon inventory while conducting the experiment.
Results as of January 21, 2017
Batch #1: Jan. 7 - Jan. 11, 2017
![[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?](https://i.imgur.com/Zy5zH5P.png "[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?")
Batch #2: Jan. 18 - Jan. 21, 2017
![[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?](https://i.imgur.com/4kzo94w.png "[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?")
Total Eggs:
![[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?](https://i.imgur.com/TjNk2sO.png "[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?")
![[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?](https://i.imgur.com/xhYN4Py.png "[PokeCommunity.com] Egg-PokéStop Experiment: Are Certain PokéStops More Likely to Drop Certain Pokémon Eggs?")
Click for full image
Batch #2: Jan. 18 - Jan. 21, 2017
Total Eggs:
Click for full image
Notable hatches: 2x Chansey, 3x Lapras, 2x Snorlax, 1x Porygon
Recall that I mentioned I only hatched a single Lapras up until starting this experiment. The three Lapras hatches were split into two hatches in the first batch (out of 6x 10km eggs) and one in the second batch (out of 4x 10km eggs). Recall that I also mentioned hatching a Snorlax from this Pok?Stop prior to the experiment. The two Snorlax hatches were split into one from each batch. I cannot wrap my head around the sheer "luck"(?) involved in hatching three Lapras in rapid succession when I went months of heavy gameplay without seeing nor hatching one (specifically since August 2016).
Some notes worth considering:
- In the week between the two batches, I also hatched other eggs from other random Pok?Stops as part of my "normal" gameplay. The results are not logged above, but there were no Lapras and Snorlax involved.
- There is no correlation with the Pok?mon that spawned in the surrounding biome and the hatchlings. The Pok?Stop I chose is located in an electric/desert biome, with the species makeup dominated by Magnemite, Voltorb, Ekans, Sandshrew, and more uncommon/rare ones like Vulpix, Hitmonlee, and some others.
- The egg type ratio is not far from what I expected. 8.6% of the total eggs being 10km is not far from the 10% that I see many players anecdotally acknowledge. Also note that both batches turned out exactly 39x 5km eggs out of the 58. I'm sure that's a coincidence, but the ratios are otherwise extremely close.
Next Steps
I'm going to continue this experiment with a third batch after I take some time to play "normally" and restock on some items (I am running a little low on Ultra Balls). Once the experiment resumes, I am willing to start making some predictions, especially with the 10km eggs. An average of 5x 10km eggs per batch? At least one Lapras and/or Snorlax per batch?For those who have read and processed everything up to this point, I encourage you to try this experiment for yourself and see what the results are like. Sample size, as always, is a concern, which means the more results we get, the better conclusions we may draw. Stock up on your items, empty out your eggs inventory, pick a Pok?Stop, record the eggs and the hatchlings you get.
