- 6
- Posts
- 17
- Years
- Seen Oct 16, 2007
Did you train or something because I suck.
I don't see the logic in this. Once you get 1 shiny, the odds arn't reset there still at 1/200 or whatever your at, at this time. You have a 0.5%(when you get there) chance of getting a shiny everytime the grass rumbles. Now I know the chance of getting 8 isn't great but its still possible.
Anyways, my highest chain is 25 on a Bidoof, no shiny. Only shiny I've ever caught was on the 11th battle of a 12 Floayzel chain.
I realize what you're trying to say, but you can never be exact, even if there is a chance of something happening doesn't mean it will, you said I had a better chance of being struck by lightening 7 times, I haven't even been struck once, chances doesn't equal what can actually happen... That's what a Chance is, it's not exact, and let me tell you... you can either be lucky with the Pokeradar, or unlucky... it just happens. I know some people who only had to reset their game a few times to get a Shiny starter, and even if you encounter 8000 something Pokemon you're not guaranteed to get a Shiny after you see the next one, you can go on and on without seeing one, it's just a chance nothing in a chance is ever exact.... I was reseting the radar for freaking ever, like 3 hours before the first shiny came up, and mind you that this chain was started august 27th and ended august 28th, since time doesn't effect the Pokeradar, none of them are exactly the same, I wouldn't see any point in cloning a Shiny Pokemon, I mean I'm not even trying to trade them for personal gain... It's just a chance is a chance, not exact.Never said it wasn't possible, just said its next to impossible. I'm making my own pokemon game, so those of you who are claiming I have no clue what goes into the programming of chaining are wrong. And no, they didn't teach me about pokemon games in AP statistics, but they did teach me how to calculate the probability of a statistical event, which can include catching a shiney pokemon. There is math behind pokemon games people, trust me. And listen, you don't all need to accuse me of flaming, or get mad at me for this and that. I'm just saying that it is VERY unlikely that it happened. I'm not saying its impossible to get shineys from chaining, i'm not saying its impossible to get more than 1 shiney from a chain, I just said its very unlikely to get 8 shineys in one chain. Don't blow it out of proportion here. Its not flaming, its just my opinion, which is based on facts.
Here is what the odds really are:
His Highest Chain: 113
Number of Shineys: 8
so the odds of getting a shiney after 40 chains are 1/200, He did 113 chains, the chances of getting a shiney before then are pretty minimal, but we'll assume he got one shiney in the first 40 ( which is generous ). So that leaves us with 73 chains to get the other 7 at the odds of 1/200. The probability of this happening, while being generous, is .000000036. Which by any statistical standards, is horrible. 1 in 27,777,777. ( 27 million, 777 thouand, 777 )
So yes, its possible I suppose.
I realize what you're trying to say, but you can never be exact, even if there is a chance of something happening doesn't mean it will, you said I had a better chance of being struck by lightening 7 times, I haven't even been struck once, chances doesn't equal what can actually happen... That's what a Chance is, it's not exact, and let me tell you... you can either be lucky with the Pokeradar, or unlucky... it just happens. I know some people who only had to reset their game a few times to get a Shiny starter, and even if you encounter 8000 something Pokemon you're not guaranteed to get a Shiny after you see the next one, you can go on and on without seeing one, it's just a chance nothing in a chance is ever exact.... I was reseting the radar for freaking ever, like 3 hours before the first shiny came up, and mind you that this chain was started august 27th and ended august 28th, since time doesn't effect the Pokeradar, none of them are exactly the same, I wouldn't see any point in cloning a Shiny Pokemon, I mean I'm not even trying to trade them for personal gain... It's just a chance is a chance, not exact.
I don't think anyone has cracked the entire method of how the Pokeradar is programed, even if there is a 1/200 chance, that doesn't mean I got a Shiny within the reseting of the radar I have been reseting the radar over 100 times, and no shinies, and yesterday I chained Zangoose up to 40 and got NO shinies... so see not everyone gets a shiny on their chain, and not everyone believes in chances, because to be technical I've gotten 3 shinies on Pearl that weren't in shiny patches, so chances are just chances... not exact probability of something happening, if there is a red marble in a bag with 8 green marbles, there is still a chance that I'd pick a red marble each time, doesn't mean I will or wont pick it each time.
Also according to my game, I haven't even encountered 8000 Pokemon yet...
no the odds arnt 1/27 million......thats way too high...its like 1/200 the lowest you can go but i dont know which number chain that is....but 1/200...thats pretty good.
Wow this is a really good video.
Thanks, I thought shinies were just luck and the pokeradar was just to save time from running around in the grass to battle wild pokemon.