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3rd Gen What are the odds?

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Mr Cat Dog

Mr Cat Dog

Frasier says it best
    • 11,344
    Posts
    20
    Years
    Golden Groudon14 said:
    well i wouldnt say its hard to find. i found ralts first time. to find ralts, ur pokemon must like you or it will be hard to find.
    Click to expand...
    *Fake rumour alert button goes off the scale* That was a fake rumour. Your Pokemon can absolutely adore you, or completely despise you, and Ralts would still only appear 4% of the time. And please don't stray offtopic. Thanks ^_^
     

    Joey the Cockroach

    Dino Crisis will never die!!!!
    • 1,840
    Posts
    19
    Years
    Mr Cat Dog said:
    *Fake rumour alert button goes off the scale* That was a fake rumour. Your Pokemon can absolutely adore you, or completely despise you, and Ralts would still only appear 4% of the time. And please don't stray offtopic. Thanks ^_^
    Click to expand...

    sorry mr cat dog. yeah ralts is hard 2 find, like dunsparce on silver in dark cave, but easier.
     

    Blaziken Trainer

    • 121
    Posts
    19
    Years
    • Seen Jun 8, 2009
    Shuko said:
    I was Ralts hunting today, and when I finally ran into one, I got the surprise of the century! It was shiny, but even that wasn't the most unbelievable part of it. After I caught it (breathing a sigh of relief), I went to heal at a Poke center, and they told me I had contracted Pokerus. The little thing had Pokerus too! OMG! Anyway, I was wondering... does anyone know what the odds are of this? Is it really as rare as I think, or am I getting all excited over nothing?

    Btw, Ralts is so cute! ^_^ I love his little blue trim! :droolz
    Click to expand...

    I don't know but probably about twice as much as getting a shiny, at least
     

    Lord Jaws

    The Lovable Tramp
    • 937
    Posts
    19
    Years
    Lol. If you want a moveset I sort of recommend this:

    ~Calm Mind
    ~Recover
    ~Psyhic
    ~Thunderbolt (or something similar)

    Dont take my word for it tho coz I dont use Gardevour all that much. It needs another moveslot or 2 for stuff like Reflect lol.
     

    husk1442

    needs more [i]Mod[/i]
    • 1,231
    Posts
    19
    Years
    • Age 33
    • Seen Aug 3, 2009
    Destiny bond is fun for the last spot and WoW an help you set up against physcial attackers as your defense isn't that great
     
    Maple Meganium

    Maple Meganium

    • 1,873
    Posts
    19
    Years
    Let's see:

    Chance of finding Ralts: 1/25 (5^-2)
    Chance of finding a shiny: 1/8192 (2^-13)
    Chance of finding Pok?rus: 3/65536 ((3^1)(2^-16))
    Chance of finding a Modest Pok?mon: 1/25 (5^-2) (this counts because Modest is Gardevoir's ideal nature)

    Put it all together:
    3/335544320000 chances (1 in 111848106666)!
    That's, rounded to 3 sigfigs, a 0.000000000894% chance... or 8.94*10^-12 to one.

    In short, visit any flying saucers lately?
     
    Last edited:

    CyndaQuilava

    PkMn Master Chris
    • 54
    Posts
    19
    Years
    actually, the rarest pokeon that can be caught is on route 123

    celebi: 1 in 20 mil
    shiny: 1 in 8 thou
    pokerus: 1 in 20 thou
    modest nature: 1 in 25

    so heres the equation:

    20,000,000 * 8,000 * 20,000 * 25 =

    8e16 says my calculator. but i say:

    160,000,000,000 * 20,000 =

    3,200,000,000,000,000 * 25 =

    80,000,000,000,000,000!!!

    so the odds of finding a shiny celebi with pokerus that has a modest nature are 1 in 80 Quadrillion!!!
    (where 1 is thousand, 2 is million, 3 is billion and 4 is trillion and 1 = 000) its pretty complicated math, but when you get down to it, its pretty easy.
     

    CyndaQuilava

    PkMn Master Chris
    • 54
    Posts
    19
    Years
    because my friend carlos traded me it from his ruby version. and i saw the whole thing. he used his master ball on it (which costed him when he fought groudon. its level 26 when he caught it and i raised it 4 levels. even though its a glitch, its still the only legitimate way of catching it unless nintendo makes a promotion in which they give it to us. either that or we have to wait for diamond and pearl to come out and have it transfered from there somehow onto our game paks.

    subtopic: paerl and diamond will be compatible w/ RuSaEmFRLG because of the gba slot. itll work just like how poklemon box does. even though im ot allowed to tell you this, this is how its done. dont ask me where i got this info from because i wont tell you. but you can rest assured that there is no 'generation barrier'.
     

    Kine

    Whatev
    • 607
    Posts
    19
    Years
    I'm gonna have to congratulate you on your find. It's like an all in one package deal.

    Of course, it were female, then I'd be jealous...
     

    firemaster

    Art Martyr
    • 304
    Posts
    19
    Years
    it took me 40 minutes to find a ralts, i was in the right grass the whole time....


    But i am disgustingly unlucky. I've played for years and years, and have never seen a shiny or pokerus....

    Meanwhile, my brother restarts his game (because i pwned him in battle.... lol) and 15 mins later he says "i just got a shiny shroomish" (and he doent even like breloom like i do :(

    then 5 mins i hear "what is poke-rust"

    i swear, i wanted to smack that kid....
     

    mizu-dragon

    Head of the Strategist League
    • 615
    Posts
    19
    Years
    no way, how not cool is that?? your brother gets it and he doesn't even know anything about it. I would have told him that meant it was going to die but if he traded it to me I'd fix it for him, because he wasn't far enough in the game to do it himself. I'd keep it to, and give him a regular one saying the cure made it un-shiny too, sorry :P i'm such a liar :D
     

    Nicks

    Chromeosome
    • 462
    Posts
    19
    Years
    Mr Cat Dog said:
    Shiny PokeRus Ralts is 1 in (4 x 8250 x 8000) = 1 in 264000000
    Shny PokeRus Modest Ralts = 6600000000

    (YOU'RE SO LUCKY!!!!!!!)
    Click to expand...

    You had a 1 out of 1677721600 or 5.9604644775392 * 10^-4 or .00059604644775392 chance of obtaining a raltz (4/1000) shiny (1/8192) and Pokerus (1/8192), thats amazing luck, i commend you!

    And Mr. CatDog, you did the maths inaccuratly, the formula is:

    % = (4/100) * (100)
    % = 4%

    % = (1/8192) * (100)
    % = 1.220703125% * 10^-2

    % = (1/8192) * (100)
    % = 1.220703125% * 10^-2

    % = 1.220703125% * 10^-2 * 1.220703125% * 10^-2 * 4%
    % = 5.9604644775392 * 10^-4
     
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