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Impeachment on Brazil

Killua

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    So today the deputy Chamber just voted for the impeachment giving the senate the chance og impeaching the president, Dima Rousself.
    What are your toughts and opinions on it? Do you agree with the impeachment or not?
     
    Maybe you can give us some background on this. Most people in this forum, let alone this section, don't know too much about Brazil. All I know about Dilma Rousseff is that she succeeded Lula da Silva (who I think was well known, if not popular, internationally), she represents the socialist party and that the Brazilian economy isn't doing too well post-recession. Is it a corruption thing? Was Lula da Silva implicated in any of it? How has the Brazilian people reacted to the impeachment? How is Rousseff and her party doing? Will this cause civil unrest?
     
    The most ironic part about this is that the case against President Dilma Rousseff is the mildest in the current government. She's been relatively untainted by the more serious allegations against other parliamentarians. More than half of the parliamentarians (150 or so) in the lower house who voted for her are under investigation for egregious violations but are protected by legislative immunity.

    Background: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ongress-impeach-brazilian-president?CMP=fb_gu

    Favorite part of the article:
    Deputies were called one by one to the microphone by the instigator of the impeachment process, Cunha (The House Speaker) – an evangelical conservative who is himself accused of perjury and corruption – and one by one they condemned the president.

    Yes, voted Paulo Maluf, who is on Interpol's red list for conspiracy. Yes, voted Nilton Capixiba, who is accused of money laundering. "For the love of God, yes!" declared Silas Camara, who is under investigation for forging documents and misappropriating public funds.

    And yes, voted the vast majority of the more than 150 deputies who are implicated in crimes but protected by their status as parliamentarians.
     
    Essentially, Brazil is mired in corruption. The national oil company, Petrobras, has been funnelling billions of dollars to the Government party, the PT (Worker's Party), and its allies. The country is also in a massive recession (GDP fell by 3.7% last year and probably this one too), inflation is going worryingly high, and the budget deficit is higher than Rousseff's approval ratings, which is all sorts of amazing (10.7% deficit vs 9% approval). The Real has collapsed against the dollar, half of the Deputies' Chamber (the House) is under investigation, including its President (the Speaker), Eduardo Cunha, who personally authorised the Impeachment after Rousseff's party approved an investigation on Cunha... in short, any semblance of Government is gone, the country is unmanageable, and, unless there is a fresh new political cycle, Brazil is going to the doldrums.

    The thing is: if Brazil were a Parliamentary system, they could have simply voted on a motion of no confidence on the Government and called for new elections. Over 60% of people want to get rid of her, and let us remember that she won her second term in a squeaker (3 million votes from over 100m+ cast). But, since it's a Presidential system, with fixed terms and no legislative oversee on the executive, they had to essentially make up some excuse to remove her from office: apparently she hid the budget deficit before the 2014 elections. She's most likely going to be removed and replaced by VP Michel Temer, from the centre Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB), who has the largest plurality in Congress (still way short of a majority, the Brazilian Congress is utterly out of control) and will try to somehow form a national unity coalition with everybody else in an attempt to save the country from economic catastrophe before actual elections can be called in 2018.

    At this point though, they'd do very good to change the Constitution from start to end, since there are so many details of public spending and other day-to-day measures set in stone there that make writing a budget almost impossible; not to mention the utter ungovernability of the country. If they started splashing out petrodollars all over Congress is because there are so many different parties (20), most of them tiny, that the only way to put a majority together is throwing bribes left and right.
     
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