Helmut's prediction originally made the rounds on some Breitbart affiliate site and went from there. Well, considering there's plenty of insane people voting for Trump in these primaries, you never know. ;D
Because midterm electorates don't favor democrats and incumbents, especially incumbent democrats, so midterm elections are far from "mandates", it was expected far before November. Obama never trailed Romney in national polling leading up to the election and the 47% comment buried Romney months before the election, we knew this leading up to election day. On top of all that, while unfavorability ratings don't necessarily translate to not being elected or vice-versa, because they are different things, and that's exactly my point. A survey of likely voters usually does give better insight into who gets elected, however, and that's what I was referencing here, there is your difference. This is data, not conjecture. Multiple polls in upcoming primary states demonstrate Trump, much like his buddy Christie, is vasty unpopular outside of his narrow base:
Unpopularity within his own party, in general
Vastly unpopular with Hispanics, etc.
74% unfavorability in NJ with minorities in general, as bad Christie's numbers
Hard to win a nomination if multiple, major voting blocks despise you.
