Modest or Timid Nature for Dragapult?

[Shuckle99]

I recently asked on Pokémon Database if a modest or timid nature for Choice Specs Dragapult was generally better in competitive single battles in Sw/Sh and gen 8 OU singles in Showdown. I received one answer in favor of timid and another in favor of modest. Here is the reasoning why both natures are good for Specs Dragapult.

Timid:
• Sp. Attack is already boosted by Choice Specs
• Multiple mons can outspeed and OHKO Modest Dragapult, but not Timid Dragapult
• SpA Stat with 252 EVs: 299 x 1.5 = 449 SpA with choice specs
• Spe stat with 252 EVs: 421

Modest:
• Dragapult already has an insane speed stat
• Modest nature allows it to make up for its lower SpA stat than its Atk stat
• SpA stat with 252 EVs: 328 x 1.5 = 492 SpA with choice specs
• Spe stat with 252 EVs: 383

I should mention that I do run a sticky web team, so Modest seems like it would be the obvious choice. However, my sticky web setter (shuckle) can be KO'd by multi-hit attacks before it can set it and sticky web can be removed by Defog and rapid spin users. Here is my Dragapult's information:

Dragapult @ Choice specs
Ability: Infiltrator
Nature: Modest/Timid (Still unsure)
Ev Spread: 252 SpA, 252 Spe, 4 HP
IVs: All 31
• Draco meteor
• Shadow ball (Go-to move)
• Fire blast
• Thunderbolt

So my question is this: Is there a noticeable difference between a 449 SpA stat for Dragapult (Timid) and a 492 SpA stat (Modest) or would both usually be able to OHKO with Specs + STAB Shadow Ball (excluding dark and normal types)? This will decide for me which nature is better.

Thank you in advance.

 

[Fairy]

Hi there! This section is for introducing yourself to the community. If you want help with competitive battling, you'll want to check our competitive section.

 

[tokyodrift]

Hey there and welcome to the community! This thread is better suited over in the competitive section of the community, so I'll move it there. If you want to introduce yourself to the community, you're free to create another thread!

 

[gimmepie]

Personally, I think I'd go for the Modest option since Dragapult already outspeeds just about everything. The only reason I can think of to run Timid is to outspeed Adamant or Modest Zeraora, but you're still going to be slower than the Timid/Jolly variants.