• Ever thought it'd be cool to have your art, writing, or challenge runs featured on PokéCommunity? Click here for info - we'd love to spotlight your work!
  • Welcome to PokéCommunity! Register now and join one of the best fan communities on the 'net to talk Pokémon and more! We are not affiliated with The Pokémon Company or Nintendo.
    Register

Mafia Madness: Sight [Game Over]

GreyBidoof said:
Maybe I was ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
Click to expand...
You're probably scum anyway so w/e
Wicked3DS said:
I'm confirmed confused, I investigated Nimsy and got mafia, but I already got inno on two innos and mafia on JaDe, so it's a moot point and I'm not wasting my precious time on it anymore.
Click to expand...
Doesn't really matter if it seems "moot" now, I think it's still important that people post results even if they're confirmed confused
alexkaz61 said:
I got inno from Nimsy last night. Normally, I would believe I'm naive, but there are just so many naive seers already, unless someone is lying that is.
Click to expand...
What was your N2 result?
 
Bardothren said:
I got Aeternum as maf last night, so I'm inclined to think either he's innocent or I'm paranoid. I don't have enough info on my ability yet to say one way or another :|

Nevertheless, I shall [Kill] Aeternum
Click to expand...
There's... no way you can be paranoid if you got jd as inno though. You can't be anything other than Confused then.
Wicked3DS said:
Why?
Click to expand...
Because reasons
 
Wicked3DS said:
Sorry, but why should I not be suss of you if you expect me to explain my every twitch when you won't do the same?
Click to expand...
Normally I would kind of agree because I tend to not like it when people are cryptic about things, but I'm actually not going to explain right now. If you think about it, the reasons might be obvious, but I won't explain until there's a scum flip.

-------
Unrelated to my response to Wicked:

So, on D3 I started doing some setup speculation in my head. Here's what I'm thinking:

*WARNING! MATH AHEAD*

There's 20 players in the game. Mafia is usually around 20-25%, the ideal number would be 5. (4 mafia is possible, 6 is also possible but that would really be pushing it)

Here's why I think it's 5 mafia:
This would make it 15 Town vs 5 Mafia. 15 is a perfect number of townies because with 5 possible sanities, it would allow for an equal number of each sanity (meaning 3 of each sanity ----> 15 / 5 = 3)

This will be important, because I'm gonna base some findings on this.
 
Bardothren said:
Jolt's wrong (about me). I did inspect jd, but I got him as mafia. So, yeah, paranoid. Something tells me I said inno and I'm really going to regret correcting him, but whatever. That's what I got.

EDIT: about everything else, though, jolt's probably right.
Click to expand...
Actually, you're right! I messed up when I was adding your results to my notes ~_~

Bard, would you mind giving your thoughts on some players though? Would like to hear your thoughts on Wicked, Nimsy and Kaneki. I assume you're scum reading Nimsy since you voted her yesterday, but I kind of want to hear why.

Anyway, gonna run through some scenarios based on everyone's results and potential sanities of dead players. It's gonna be a little tough since El Héroe said he's only submitted his NA once and I'll also have to assume GB is Confused (even though I think GB is lying, but I'll have to make the assumption for this to work).
 
Bardothren said:
I've been so out of it lately that I haven't formed any opinions on anyone. I'm either useless thanks to my paranoia or insane and able to clear Aeternum... so I would estimate, given the uncertainty of my status, a 50% chance that Aeternum is innocent. As for my gut intuition, I'd finger Wicked or GB - not a real finger of suspicion, but those are the two I'm watching right now.
Click to expand...
Lack of opinions this far into the game does make me slightly nervous, but if it's true then now's a good time to start reviewing people and forming opinions. Still at least want an opinion on Nimsy, if you want to look into her I'd start with this post (this was a few posts after JaDe explained how lynching jd was part of the plan on D2). If you do check it out, make sure to read through the whole rest of the phase though and not just Nimsy's posts, because context is important. Nimsy had some pretty weird/bad logic/reasoning on D2.

And speaking of Nimsy, another thought I had: Desi getting killed makes it more likely that one of Nimsy/Wicked is scum imo. I have a really hard time seeing Nimsy vs Wicked as being Town vs Town, but if it is Town vs Town, then killing one last night would have been a good way to frame the other.

Still going through scenarios, gonna post findings soon.
 
Ok, so here's what I'm finding so far:

- Desi and Kaneki have good chances of being True (and so does aeternum technically if he's actually town), even if at least one of Naku/Klippy/Ullion/Mana were true
- If aeternum flips town, Desi is confirmed confused
- JaDe has a decent chance of being insane, even if one of Naku/Klippy/Ullion were insane and/or if jd was insane
- Nimsy (or Alex) flipping town would confirm JaDe as confused

- There's too many people confirmed/claiming confused (or with high chances of being confused)
- If any of JaDe or Desi are confirmed confused, then at least one person claiming confused is lying
- If any of Naku/Klippy/Ullion/Mana were confused, chances are even higher ^

- There's also way too many people that are in the potentially True/Naive/Confused group

Remember, this is based on the theory that there are 3 of each type of sanity.
 
So we have six useful classes three insane and three true I am positive I am true so lets say 2 of the dead are either insane or true we have 2 trueclaims (mine and Aeternum) and if i am not wrong one insane claim.
 
Last edited:
Davepetasprite^2 said:
N0 - Naku - inno - flipped inno
N1 - jd - inno - flipped inno
N2 - gimmepie - inno
N3 - Abby - inno
Click to expand...
Gunner, why Abby?
gimmepie said:
It doesn't much matter which order we kill you in, you're all gonna die soon enough. As for why? Nobody said you guys have been making good plays
[PokeCommunity.com] Mafia Madness: Sight [Game Over]


You're the only ones that seem to be working together, you're desperately trying to get as many of the players perceived as good/threats out of the way as you can and you slipped up when you killed Desi, confirming him as true.
Click to expand...
This post is... weird. What makes you so sure about all of them getting lynched? Where's the connection between Kaneki and aeternum or Wicked (or even Nimsy)? If your thoughts have changed since then, why did you think think this at the time?
-----------
I know I haven't voted yet, but I have some paranoia whirling around in my head over aeternum...
 
Superjolt said:
Gunner, why Abby?
Click to expand...

First, i thought about targeting Alvey but then I decided to go with Abby instead since I thought she was suss. Might not be the best decision that ive made in hindsight but w/e
 
El Héroe Oscuro said:
snip
Click to expand...
Hey El, don't forget about investigating tonight. Should be able to get a good idea of your sanity even with only 2 investigations
Davepetasprite^2 said:
First, i thought about targeting Alvey but then I decided to go with Abby instead since I thought she was suss. Might not be the best decision that ive made in hindsight but w/e
Click to expand...
Not really concerned with the investigation choice, just wondering why you think so :)

Anyway, despite my paranoia about us being wrong about aeternum, I'm going to [kill] aeternum. I think his flip helps us either way,

beacuse...

If aeternum is town:
- Desi is confirmed confused
- There would be results from 3 people that point to scum-Nimsy and she should be lynched D5
- GP is probably scum too, but Nimsy should still be lynched before him

If aeternum is scum:
- Desi is likely true
- Bard likely scum
- Kaneki still has high chance of being true (which also makes Nimsy likely scum)

Kaneki has a good chance of being true either way
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top