Might as well give it a shot, maybe putting my thoughts down will make me come to some kind of conclusion. So, we're assuming three mafia in a lylo, correct?
Rainbow -- To be reminiscent of Krow's words, fucking
who? I know that it'd be a little hypocritical of me to call out inactivity, but this is ridiculous: they have only made 2 posts minus their sign-up, which were a vote on D1 for Zap (now revealed as Doc) and a D3 two-word post hopping on the Ulli train before we discovered Krow was roleblocked; which they were pinged about due to Ulli's post, and still did nothing. The only reason I'm not trigger-happy about advocating a lynch on Rainbow is because this tastes of true truancy and can apply to both a scum!Rainbow and an inno!Rainbow context.
The posts are so insubstantial. I do have a lean towards the scum angle, though -- the D3 appearance seems like a quick vote to stay in the game and not let a mafia team down by having them lose one member; I feel I'd be more likely for a inno!Rainbow to just veg and die of inactivity.
Superjolt -- Nice, well-stated posts. Can't find a reason to scumread. Super's urgency to provoke reads out of people in this eleventh hour definitely rings inno, because I just don't see a scum!Super making this move; why would he care then? However, it could read like he's trying to lead a lynch on Cat Dog, but the tenacity reads town.
Mr Cat Dog -- Though I like Super's analysis, I'm still at kind of a loss with Cat Dog. Maybe it's just because he's kinda the same kind of inactive I am, but I definitely wouldn't knock the notion. Most of his responses are either confusing or hollow to me.
Ullion -- It's pretty funny to find out that besides the GM, Ulli has made the most posts in the game. I feel like I have not been taking notice of him much. But one particular feud rings out clear, which is made all the more interesting now knowing a confirmed context of inno!Zap and inno!Aqua:
Why? Because to my recollection, people were saying that's how he normally acts when he's town in past games. So you coming out and claiming that he was "suss as hell yesterday" seems backwards to me, and in my eyes paints you as more suspicious. Could he be just randomly voting you? Quite possibly. Could you be inno with him randomly voting you and you're defending yourself poorly? Possibly. But I feel like if you're inno, you wouldn't have mixed what you're saying this phase with what was commonly mentioned last phase.
I responded the way I did because you mentioned I had no literally no reason to follow him, not that he had no reason to vote for you.
And who said I wasn't considering other options? Because I voted early? That means virtually nothing. As proof by me still explaining my thoughts and posting in this thread (as opposed to lynch-and-run), I am considering other options, I'm giving you options to explain yourself in debate. Would you rather I not vote until last minute and not give you a chance to defend yourself? That would be suspicious, not giving other player's an opportunity to talk and debate and defend themselves. But if you consider that suss, I suppose I'll play more scummy in the future? I don't Anna, you're confusing me with that point - lol.
These seem incredibly antagonistic on Ulli's part for me. Now, I'm all about provoking people to get them to speak or really defend themselves (often grilling someone will lead to telling signs of their innocence in their defense) but this feels weird now knowing the context - Zap's haphazard suspicion lead to him voting an innocent, and when that innocent retaliated and there was the
ever-so-slightly lowkey speculated implication that Zap was hinting he was actually cop, Ulli kind of ran with it and was the person to grill Aqua instead of Zap. This rings suss to me, since in a scum!Ulli context, this could be a clever way to lead a lynch on Aquacorde by making her defensiveness seem scummy -- and when she flipped Inno, then a scum!Ulli could lead a lynch on Zap for falsely "hinting" cop. Most of Ulli's other posts are "well shucks i dont know" and "i cant read people" so him being aggressive on this one person in this one moment seems out of character to his other posts. He only backs off when Krow makes a definite stance on being Cop and Aqua's innocence, backed up by Doof.
And looking back, it seems awfully convenient that NK was roleblocked the night she scanned Ulli and misinterpreted the "frosting" flavor she got notifying her she was roleblocked. Not saying that this makes Ulli scum - NK was roleblocked, so she wouldn't know - I'm just saying, it's awfully convenient excuse to invalidate the bandwagon against him.
The only thing that pokes holes in my scumread is my scum!Rainbow assumption and Rainbow's vote on Ulli, which could easily be handwaved with a mentality of "well, fuck, the cop got one of our members can't do shit about it now" on the part of Rainbow if not for the fact that scum!Rainbow would know the Vanilla Cake roleblocked Krow. But, maybe they thought something was wrong with the roleblock and went with the bandwagon anyway?
Wiicked -- I think I finally found out the reason why I'm not liking Wiicked. While gimmepie was on his deathbed, he voted Wiicked and said that a scum!Wiick was in cohorts with Ulli, and the two of them were pretty chummy:
To be fair I try to play every game the same way, so not to tip people off when I am mafia or not. Also I'm townreading Ullion right now so no I don't trust you Pie.
I'm sorta curious as to what would actually make you think either of us are mafia in particular. o.o Obviously I know I'm inno (but whatever, what i think on myself doesn't matter lol) but Wicked struck me as his typical forward self, which I don't think he is like as much when he's mafia? Unless of course you're trying some mind games here to fool us into lynching more towns. :/
Wiick jumped on the Ulli bandwagon, but I chalk this up to another case of what I prescribed Rainbow above. When Ulli was pointing out the role descriptions, this post:
What exactly did your investigation reveal? Sounds like we need to do some more research.
Feels like support for Ulli while trying to keep the guise of a know-nothing innocent. The sentence "sounds like we need to do some more research" feels so
character-y, I feel like a true-blue innocent would just post the first sentence.
and blah, blah, I'm innocent and Aquacorde is confirmed to be so. Guess I had more back-up than I thought. I'll go with my initial gut feeling and
[LYNCH] Wiicked, but I'd be swayed in voting for Ullion.
So, tldr;
Town -- Myself, Aquacorde, Superjolt
Scum -- Ullion, Wiicked, Rainbow/
Mr Cat Dog (sub)