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If this caucus is a sign of things to come, 2020 is going to be a LONG year. I would've never thought Mayor Pete would've gotten 2nd place (or higher).
The Iowa Caucus was on Monday. It is Thursday morning and we're still waiting for the full results to come in and be verified. This is unprecedented!
In 2012, the Republican Party took two weeks to correctly announce the caucus results. So they are still within the margin.
The issue is just that caucuses are a deranged way to elect anything, not how competent the organisations are.
Not even trying to be subtle now, are they? You would think that in the presidential election after the one where there were concerns about election security and foreign influence that the people running these things would make sure that it all goes well this time. But instead they do the caucus with a very new app from a questionable entity, and one that one of the candidates has given money to at that (and then said candidate just happens to win the state), then just basically come out and say "we know the results are probably wrong but we ain't gonna fix". They don't really expect people to be fine with this, do they? Or maybe they do and just don't care, that wouldn't surprise me.
great way way to start really
I'm also going to add that, in the great scheme of things, one delegate in a caucus, a messy system that luckily is used by a clear minority of states, is not going to change the outcome. I know, I know that many Bernie Sanders suporters are just dying to scream conspiracy and, certainly, they are delighted by the evidence that he got the short end of the stick from the problems in the caucus. But wait until he sweeps NH and NV and goes into SuperTuesday as the leading candidate before claiming that there's a massive DNC conspiracy to defeat him, please.
A very good rule of thumb is "don't assume evil is behind things that can be explained by human stupidity". I honestly doubt the Iowa DP set out to specifically rig the caucus against Sanders in particular, it's more likely the whole thing was a massive mess (just ask Santorum in 2012) and Sanders was in the wrong place. Again, wait to see if there are ballot boxes disappearing mysteriously in NH or something before assuming the Evil Washington Elites are just rigging everything.
And let me ask: let's say that the real caucus result had been Sanders 26%, Buttigieg 24%. Other than the one delegate (out of over one thousand needed to win the nomination) changing hands, what would have changed? Sanders has got a bounce in the polls. Pete would have got a bounce anyway because he was the winner of the "moderate" lane while Biden was in free-fall, and if you think ex-Biden voters would have flocked to Sanders just because he had narrowly won instead of narrowly lost, well, think again. So yeah, if suddenly mysterious shit starts happening in the upcoming three states, then I can buy it's a conspiracy. But if everything goes smoothly in the following days and the actual effect is... that Sanders lost one delegate, then what is the problem...?
PD: Sanders lost 2016 because more people just happened to cast their votes for Clinton.
PD2: I donated money to Sanders in 2016 and would love to see him win the general if he wins the primary.
It's not likely to have a huge impact in the overall end result of the nomination, but that doesn't mean this sort of thing is okay, regardless of whether it's because of conspiracy, stupidity or some other maliciousness.
I'm also going to add that, in the great scheme of things, one delegate in a caucus, a messy system that luckily is used by a clear minority of states, is not going to change the outcome. I know, I know that many Bernie Sanders suporters are just dying to scream conspiracy and, certainly, they are delighted by the evidence that he got the short end of the stick from the problems in the caucus. But wait until he sweeps NH and NV and goes into SuperTuesday as the leading candidate before claiming that there's a massive DNC conspiracy to defeat him, please.
A very good rule of thumb is "don't assume evil is behind things that can be explained by human stupidity". I honestly doubt the Iowa DP set out to specifically rig the caucus against Sanders in particular, it's more likely the whole thing was a massive mess (just ask Santorum in 2012) and Sanders was in the wrong place. Again, wait to see if there are ballot boxes disappearing mysteriously in NH or something before assuming the Evil Washington Elites are just rigging everything.
And let me ask: let's say that the real caucus result had been Sanders 26%, Buttigieg 24%. Other than the one delegate (out of over one thousand needed to win the nomination) changing hands, what would have changed? Sanders has got a bounce in the polls. Pete would have got a bounce anyway because he was the winner of the "moderate" lane while Biden was in free-fall, and if you think ex-Biden voters would have flocked to Sanders just because he had narrowly won instead of narrowly lost, well, think again. So yeah, if suddenly mysterious shit starts happening in the upcoming three states, then I can buy it's a conspiracy. But if everything goes smoothly in the following days and the actual effect is... that Sanders lost one delegate, then what is the problem...?
PD: Sanders lost 2016 because more people just happened to cast their votes for Clinton.
PD2: I donated money to Sanders in 2016 and would love to see him win the general if he wins the primary.