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Supporter Mafia Season Three: The Rebellion

Zehn said:
Let's do statistics, the majority of rouges will be T3 right? That's the biggest section so there must be more do to ratios and that kinda thing. Buy this there must be the least in T3 and further T3 are the biggest threat to those in T2, so T3 seem a logical first kill, as no one has shown any qualitys of detective or the others. Unless someone blatantly pisses of the rouges I think T3 is there target
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You do raise a good point.
 
Does that mean the rogues are in the lowest tiers?
 
Arx said:
Does that mean the rogues are in the lowest tiers?
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Well, the lowest tier is the biggest, so logically they would be mostly in that tier.
 
A rogue in the higher tiers is much more dangerous than a rogue in the lower tiers obviously, as even if we did have suspicions, well, us low tiers can't vote for them right?

For balancing this probably gives another reason as to why the rogues will mostly be low tier, at least for now. But that's just a theory, a mafia theory.

Still, there are still probably high tier rogues out there, most likely (since nothing is definite yet). So we should all be careful I feel, at least until more revelations are made apparent.
 
Deceptio said:
A rogue in the higher tiers is much more dangerous than a rogue in the lower tiers obviously, as even if we did have suspicions, well, us low tiers can't vote for them right?
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You have a point there.

I was thinking there would be a balance of rogues, like maybe 2 in the third tier, 1 in the second tier, and maybe 1-3 rogues in the first tier since there's a bigger group.
 
Your arguments have definitely swayed me. Logically speaking it seems that there are probably fewer mafia in the higher tiers. The lowest tier not only has the highest chance because of numbers, but it also makes sense as far as balancing goes to restrict the number in higher tiers. I just hope we aren't being manipulated right now.

Honestly, we should all just execute MorallyIncorrect. It's breaking tradition if he doesn't die at the beginning of the game.
 
As there's only four of us in the third tier (now referred to as Klippy's Angels - please use this to describe us four from now on), we're fairly safe for the time being in terms of lynchings, but we're definitely outnumbered in terms of enemies (if we're all Greens).

I'd say there's less Rogues in the higher tiers simply because they are impossible to be voted for in a majority.
 
We got no leads, do we?

If we're gonna RNG it, someone can make a list and another person roll the number, to make it the less biased possible.

Does anyone else have an idea on how to make it fair?
 
well shit I was right about them targeting the higher tiers first

it does stand to reason. If they're in lower tiers, then they can't wipe out the higher tiers during the day phase, and the higher tiers can execute anyone.While if they're in tier two, for example, then they don't have much reason to worry about murdering anyone in tier one.

and can we agree to call them Rogues instead of Mafia since we all are technically the Mafia this go round? haha
 
We should all vote for different people and let Archer decides who dies
 
I say we vote for one of the two least posters who are both Tier 2's. Juno or JayD. This gives us a pretty good shot at IDing where the most Rogues are, since Tier 2 is exactly in the middle. Tier 1's will just have to select someone from their own tier to vote for or just skip voting this one time (since you can miss one and not be killed for missing it).

So...just because Juno has betrayed me in past Mafia games, [EXECUTE] Juno.
 
I think we should vote for the one that's indirectly murdered the most people here and is also most prone to being a traitor

EXECUTE Nakuzami

wait what no I'm not a traitor what do you mean?

That's exactly what a traitor would say!

And exactly what a non-traitor would say!

We can't take that chance! Quick, kill him!

but yeah tier 2 sounds like a good place to start weeding out Rogues
I think I'll take the diverging path from Klippy

EXECUTE JayD

of course this is subject to change

god I sound like I'm on drugs or something
 
I mean we could but I like Juno I think

haha d:
 
Imo I think it's wayyyy too early to say that they're targeting the upper tiers. You need at least three bits of data to determine a pattern, right? Granted, that could have been their original strategy, but they could end up offing someone from the lower tier next, simply because we're "on to them".
 
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As the majority of people are T1 or T2, the T3 people should be looking for what's most advantageous for them. Which would be trying to strategize and get a T1 lynched since that is the most likely place for the enemy to be hiding. T2 might be home to one member, and T3 is highly doubtful. I would suggest going after a T1 member while we have so many people because half of us can't even vote for a T2, so the possibility of getting them lynched anyways is low. And so with that, I will make my RNG list. The way this works - if it's not obvious - go to random.org and set the min to 1 and max to 15. Press generate 5 times and then post the name that corresponds with each number you get. If you get the same number twice just skip over it and generate a new one.

Flushed as 1
Charlie Brown as 2
Reisen as 3
apocalypseArisen as 4
GreyBidoof as 5
White Mage as 6
Abba as 7
Sonata as 8
MorallyIncorrect as 9
Foxrally as 10
Kokoro as 11
gimmepie as 12
Hopeless Masquerade as 13
Deceptio as 14
Zehn as 15
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My numbers were:

5, 15, 14, 3, 6

Which comes out to:

GreyBidoof
Reisen
White Mage
Deceptio
Zehn
 
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