RWBY: The Timeline of Shadows

Alex Kaz said:
It's exactly because I did the math that I'm not sure if shades do just one damage, but everyone seems to think that's the case so I'll roll with it, whatever.
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Alex, if you did the math correctly you would know that every shadow does 1 damage. 3 people attacked the Boarbatusk before it died. That means each did 1 damage. Simple as that.
 
[Attack] Death Stalker
 
[Attack] Death Stalker
 
Attacks:

Boarbatusk
 drewbie411
Ewery1
davepetasprite^2

Nevermore
solivagant
Killua

Death Stalker
Earth Traveler
Elektra Heart
Alex Kaz
jdthebud

Every player above this point is, in my opinion, pretty much confirmed not Cinder.

Dragon
Aeternum
Ethereal Wizard
gimmepie
Johnny
Sword Master

Did not attack or did not have an effectual attack
G-Cis Harmonia Gropius
Zehn
Lycanthropy

So, in my estimation, our Cinder suspect list is pretty much everybody who attacked the Dragon or didn't attack. Although, personally, I don't think anyone who didn't attack is actually Cinder.

But, seeing as this is my first mafia game, I'm probably not gonna be the one to suss out the culprit. We're (obviously) gonna have to try to figure it out together, based on our available facts.
 
Earth Traveler said:
Attacks:

Boarbatusk
 drewbie411
Ewery1
davepetasprite^2

Nevermore
solivagant
Killua

Death Stalker
Earth Traveler
Elektra Heart
Alex Kaz
jdthebud

Every player above this point is, in my opinion, pretty much confirmed not Cinder.

Dragon
Aeternum
Ethereal Wizard
gimmepie
Johnny
Sword Master

Did not attack or did not have an effectual attack
G-Cis Harmonia Gropius
Zehn
Lycanthropy

So, in my estimation, our Cinder suspect list is pretty much everybody who attacked the Dragon or didn't attack. Although, personally, I don't think anyone who didn't attack is actually Cinder.

But, seeing as this is my first mafia game, I'm probably not gonna be the one to suss out the culprit. We're (obviously) gonna have to try to figure it out together, based on our available facts.
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Uh... what?

1. There's every chance that one of the attackers was mafia if not Cinder herself.
2. Attacking the dragon indicates Cinder? How does that make any sense? We had like no coordination within the thread so it shouldn't surprise you that people didn't always attack the same thing. Not to mention the Dragon spawns Grimm so attacking the Dragon was actually a better choice to begin with.
3. These are the ones most likely to be mafia lol.
 
Well, we know that at least one of the two people that regained their aura on night 1 is scum. Ironwood knows which two he chose, so he has something to work with.

Going by the fact that 2 people did 4 or more damage to nevermore and 4 people did 10 or more damage to death stalker, I doubt the scum was among these players, since the healing would probably be enough for them to not die. I agree that the scum is among the ones who attacked dragon, or the ones who didn't attack.
Get to work Ironwood xD (don't reveal just yet tho)
 
'The Dragon will be back, and as their Headmaster, I can only hope I prepared them well enough to face it a second time.'

I told you we should have focused on it instead. The fault for future deaths rest on the shoulders of those who chose to kill the stalker instead. Not gonna point any fingers earth traveler immediately jumping in with the accusation towards us who went for the big prize strikes me though cough cough but yeah. It might not have killed multiple people that instant, but there is a chance it shall return as Bard himself has stated. And since it is a Grimm that spawns more grimm, well, we could possibly be seeing the same event only with many more deaths due to our dwindling numbers by the time it occurs.
 
I think it's just flavor text tbh. We've got a mafia member with their aura restored killing people already while most of us don't have auras yet. It would be extremely maf sided if the dragon came back.
 
I attacked the Death Stalker because there was a much higher change of killing it than the dragon at the time, I thought that if we tried to kill the dragon we would fail and that would have left 2 Grimm alive. I agree that we might have to face it again with perhaps another Grimm but if there are more people with Auras it could be easier as they will have more attack power.
 
Is there a reason why G-Cis and Lycanthropy did not attack?
 
I hadn't been online at all that phase (lots of birthday parties). It's a lousy claim, I know, but it's all I got. If it's something, I can tell you I attacked the Dragon in the night phase though.

So what do we do? Besides Ironwood's knowledge, we don't have a lot to go by yet, do we?
 
Yeah, sorry to anyone I offended with my post, but what I'm trying to do is narrow the suspect pool so that we have an almost-decent shot of lynching Cinder either this day or a later one.

gimmepie said:
1. There's every chance that one of the attackers was mafia if not Cinder herself.
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I'll agree with you partly: anybody could be mafia - technically, it's possible I'm Cinder in one improbable scenario - but the reason I'm only worried about Cinder at the moment is that Cinder has a guaranteed kill each night. Once that's out of the way, it makes it safer to claim for town. Plus, as of N2, as far as I could tell, Cinder was the only confirmed scum role with aura restored, although it's probable Ironwood ended up restoring a scum role last night.

gimmepie said:
2. Attacking the dragon indicates Cinder? How does that make any sense? We had like no coordination within the thread so it shouldn't surprise you that people didn't always attack the same thing. Not to mention the Dragon spawns Grimm so attacking the Dragon was actually a better choice to begin with.
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Actually, it makes a ton of sense from a logic standpoint, and you happen touch on a major reason in this section of your post. Cinder would want to heal the Dragon because it can spawn Grimm. Not to mention it has the most HP, and had the most attackers, and as you happily pointed out, it was "actually the better choice to begin with" so Cinder has a built-in bandwagon to jump on and built-in, hole-proof reasons to attack.

gimmepie said:
3. These are the ones most likely to be mafia lol.
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Okay, you got me, the "suspect pool" happens to have the majority of the players in it. :d

At least Alex sort of agrees with my logic.

aeternum said:
I told you we should have focused on it instead. The fault for future deaths rest on the shoulders of those who chose to kill the stalker instead. Not gonna point any fingers earth traveler immediately jumping in with the accusation towards us who went for the big prize strikes me though cough cough but yeah. It might not have killed multiple people that instant, but there is a chance it shall return as Bard himself has stated. And since it is a Grimm that spawns more grimm, well, we could possibly be seeing the same event only with many more deaths due to our dwindling numbers by the time it occurs.
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Sorry. I basically followed the same logic as JD posted after you. Anyway, this further underscores the point that Cinder likely would've been among the Dragon attackers. Part of the reason I didn't attack it was I figured Cinder would heal off a bunch of damage and we wouldn't kill it. Yeah, the Dragon could come back, but at the moment that's beside the point (I would say that, wouldn't I :d). The only reason I accused the Dragon attackers as a whole is because I determined you were the most likely culprits by process of elimination.

I'm just doing my best to try to narrow the suspect pool and figure out who Cinder is, because our biggest problem right now is no one can claim without having a 100% chance of getting killed the following night. Oh, one more thing:

Alex Kaz said:
Well, we know that at least one of the two people that regained their aura on night 1 is scum. Ironwood knows which two he chose, so he has something to work with.
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I don't really get this part, because Cinder starts as scum, so I figured that was who approached the Boarbatusk when "nothing happened" (as I stated earlier in this thread, actually) and I counted five town roles attacking, so maybe I guess I'm not sure what you mean.

I'll hand out another heavily-criticized post later...
 
That'd be pretty high-level thinking. But simultaneously it seems like a huge waste. Of course, this is the same Cinder who (probably) went to heal a 3-HP Grimm N1. In any case, having an 8-person suspect list is better than having a 15-person suspect list, and we have to lynch somebody. But at the same time, we don't really have enough information to lynch anybody reliably.

Great.
 
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